Indian Markets Eye Gap-Up Start: 10 Key Drivers From Gift Nifty to Global Ceasefires

Gift Nifty hints at a 485-point premium; optimism returns with India-Pakistan ceasefire, US-China trade deal, and easing geopolitical tensions.

Mumbai | May 12, 2025:
The Indian stock market is poised for a strong rebound on Monday, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and encouraging global economic cues. Gift Nifty traded around 24,550, indicating a gap-up opening for benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50, following last week’s correction amid India-Pakistan conflict.

Here are 10 key developments impacting markets today:

Also Read: Trump Declares “Total Reset” After Marathon US-China Tariff Talks in Geneva

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1. Gift Nifty Signals Strong Start

Gift Nifty is trading nearly 485 points above its previous close, reflecting investor confidence after the weekend’s ceasefire announcement and trade deal resolution.

Also Read: ‘Byju’s Raised 6 Times This Amount’: Tax Expert Mocks Pakistan’s $1 Billion IMF Payout

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2. India-Pakistan Ceasefire

Both nations agreed to halt military operations after “Operation Sindoor.” The move brought immediate relief to market sentiment, which was battered by last week’s cross-border tensions.

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3. US-China Trade Breakthrough

US and China reached a tentative deal to reduce the trade deficit. A joint statement is expected today, further boosting global equity sentiment.

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4. Wall Street Mixed But Resilient

• Dow: -119 pts | Nasdaq: Flat | S&P 500: -4 pts
• Positive earnings from Tesla (+4.72%), Intel, and AMD partially offset investor caution.

Also Read: “Gates Is a Huge Liar”: Elon Musk Slams Bill Gates Over Accusation of Endangering Children

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5. Asian Markets in Green

• Nikkei +0.36%, Kospi +0.67%, Topix +0.19%
• Hang Seng futures slightly weak, though sentiment overall remains optimistic.

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6. Dollar Mixed; Yen Falls

• Dollar Index: 100.60 (+0.2%)
• USD/JPY: 145.90
• Offshore Yuan firmed slightly despite minor dollar gains.

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7. Crude Oil Edges Up

• Brent: $64.02/barrel
• WTI: $61.19/barrel
  Trade optimism helped lift crude slightly, although prices remain range-bound.

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8. Gold Declines

• Spot Gold: $3,286.86/oz (-1.1%)
• US Gold Futures: $3,291.60/oz (-1.6%)
  Safe haven demand dipped after positive trade and ceasefire news.

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9. Key Domestic Triggers Ahead

• Retail inflation data, Q4 earnings, and foreign capital flows will guide this week’s trend.
• Market experts advise a hedged and stock-specific strategy amid residual volatility.

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10. Global Political Watchlist

• Russia-Ukraine: Zelenskyy calls for ceasefire talks
• US-Iran: Nuclear dialogue resumes in Oman
• Continued geopolitical engagement signals a calmer investment climate

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Indian stock market, Sensex, Nifty 50, Gift Nifty, India-Pakistan ceasefire, US-China trade deal, global market cues, crude oil, gold price, stock market outlook, Asian markets