Indian Stock Market This Week: Fed Policy, Q4 Results, Indo-Pak Tensions & Global Signals Set the Tone

As Nifty eyes a breakout above 24,400, investors brace for key triggers including the US Fed rate verdict, India-Pakistan tensions, earnings season, and FII activity that could swing market momentum.

May 4, 2025: The Indian stock market ended last week on a bullish note, logging its longest winning streak of the year so far. The Sensex and Nifty 50 closed over 1% higher, buoyed by strong corporate earnings, healthy foreign inflows, and optimism surrounding an India-US trade deal. However, geopolitical tensions following the Pahalgam terror attack have tempered sentiment, and markets may see cautious moves in the upcoming week.

Also Read: After India’s Tough Port Ban, Pakistan Retaliates by Blocking Indian Ships

Key Triggers This Week:

🏦 US Federal Reserve Policy (May 7)

The US Fed is expected to maintain interest rates at 4.25%–4.50% for the third straight meeting, though investors await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks on potential cuts later this year. A dovish tone could lift global equities, including Indian stocks.

Also Read: “Won’t Bet on a Currency Going to Hell”: Warren Buffett’s Dollar Warning and Global Trade Insights

📊 Q4 Earnings Season

Major players like M&M, Asian Paints, Coal India, L&T, Titan, Dr. Reddy’s, and Paytm (One 97 Communications) will announce Q4 results. Mixed earnings could keep stock-specific volatility high.

🔥 India-Pakistan Geopolitical Tensions

After India’s tough actions post the April 22 Pahalgam terror attack—including port bans, trade suspensions, and diplomatic downgrades—Pakistan’s retaliatory measures and cross-border ceasefire violations will keep investors on edge. Market participants fear escalation could derail sentiment.

Also Read: Warren Buffett’s Best and Worst Investments: 60 Years of Wins, Regrets, and Missed Fortunes

💸 FII-DII Activity

FIIs turned net buyers in April, pumping ₹40,145 crore into equities in the last 12 sessions alone. A weaker dollar and easing global tensions could sustain the rally. However, earnings disappointments and geopolitical stress may cap gains.

📈 Macro Data & Global Cues

Investors await HSBC Services and Composite PMI data for India, alongside global updates on trade, US GDP trends, and inflation. The US-China trade de-escalation is being viewed positively for emerging markets.

🚀 IPO and Listings

While no major IPOs are lined up, Ather Energy will debut on the bourses on May 6. Four SME listings are also expected this week, adding to primary market activity.

⚙️ Corporate Actions

Stocks like CRISIL, Bajaj Finance, Varun Beverages, and Bank of Maharashtra will trade ex-dividend starting May 5. Info Edge and others will trade ex-split during the week.

📉 Technical Outlook

Experts say Nifty 50 faces immediate resistance at 24,400. A breakout could trigger fresh upside, while support lies at 23,800 and 23,400, where critical EMAs hold. A fall below these could lead to extended profit booking.

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Tags:
Indian stock market, Nifty 50 outlook, US Fed policy, India Pakistan tensions, Q4 earnings, IPO listing, FII inflows, Nifty technical view, global market trends, Jerome Powell, trade war updates