Indian Stock Market Today: 10 Key Triggers from Gift Nifty to Israel-Iran Ceasefire and Powell’s Testimony

Sensex and Nifty 50 set for a positive opening as global cues improve with Wall Street rally, easing Middle East tensions, and Fed’s inflation warning shaping investor sentiment.

June 25, 2025: The Indian stock market is poised for a strong start on Wednesday, June 25, 2025, as global markets reflect optimism following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, and a rebound in Wall Street indices. Meanwhile, Gift Nifty was trading around 25,160, nearly 88 points above the previous close, indicating a bullish start for benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50.

Also Read: Gold Prices Tumble ₹2,600 on MCX Amid Israel-Iran Ceasefire, Bearish Sentiment Looms

On Tuesday, markets ended in green after early profit booking. The Sensex closed up 158.32 points at 82,055.11, and the Nifty 50 added 72.45 points to end at 25,044.35.

Here are 10 key developments influencing today’s market:

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1. Gift Nifty Indicates Positive Start

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Gift Nifty traded at 25,160, a premium over Nifty futures, suggesting a firm opening for Indian indices.

2. Asian Markets in the Green

Asian stocks traded higher, with optimism stemming from the Middle East ceasefire. Nikkei 225 gained 0.12%, Kospi rose 0.44%, and Hang Seng futures suggested a positive open.

3. Wall Street Rally

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All three major US indices gained over 1% overnight:

• Dow Jones surged 507.24 points (+1.19%)
• S&P 500 climbed 67.01 points (+1.11%)
• Nasdaq rose 281.56 points (+1.43%)

4. Israel-Iran Ceasefire

The 12-day airstrike exchange between Israel and Iran ended following U.S. intervention. President Donald Trump’s military action against Iranian nuclear facilities helped broker the truce, though intelligence reports say the damage may be temporary.

5. Jerome Powell’s Testimony

Fed Chair Jerome Powell cautioned that inflation may rise due to trade tariffs, and the Fed will delay interest rate cuts, tempering expectations of policy easing.

6. US Consumer Confidence Slips

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 93.0, down from May’s sharp jump, missing economist expectations of 100.

7. Crude Oil Prices Rebound

• Brent crude rose 1.09% to $67.87/barrel
• WTI crude gained 1.23% to $65.16/barrel
  Investors remain cautious but optimistic amid the Middle East truce.

8. Gold Prices Hold Ground

• Spot gold at $3,326.39/oz, little changed
• US gold futures gained 0.2%
  The drop in safe-haven demand was offset by inflation concerns.

9. US Dollar and Global Currencies

• US Dollar Index eased to 97.91
• Euro hovered near $1.1621, highest since Oct 2021
• Yen steadied at 144.96, Pound slightly down at $1.3615

10. US Treasury Yields Decline

• 2-year yield dropped to 3.787%, lowest in 1.5 months
• 10-year yield remained flat at 4.3043%

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