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Muted start expected for Sensex, Nifty 50 as global cues remain mixed; investors eye Middle East crisis and central bank signals
June 20, 2025 | The Indian stock market is likely to open flat on Friday, June 20, as Gift Nifty traded near 24,793, showing a mild 10-point discount from Nifty futures. Traders remain cautious amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, fresh macroeconomic signals from China and Japan, and uncertainty in US markets due to the Juneteenth holiday.
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Here Are 8 Key Things That Changed Overnight For The Market:
1️⃣ Gift Nifty Indicates Muted Opening
- Gift Nifty hovered around the 24,793 mark.
- This reflects a nearly 10-point discount, hinting at a flat to slightly negative start.
2️⃣ Asian Markets Trade Mixed
- Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.13%, Kospi gained 0.51%, while Topix was flat.
- Hang Seng futures suggested a weak open.
- Investors await clarity on China’s monetary policy and conflict escalation.
3️⃣ US Markets Closed, Futures Fall
- US stock markets were closed for Juneteenth.
- However, Dow Futures dropped 154 points, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures slipped by 0.2% each.
- Sentiment was hit by worries over the Israel-Iran conflict and slowing growth in the US.
4️⃣ Israel-Iran War Escalates
- Israel bombed Iranian nuclear sites, while Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks, including on an Israeli hospital.
- US President Donald Trump is expected to decide on US involvement within two weeks.
5️⃣ China Keeps Interest Rates Steady
- The People’s Bank of China held its 1-year LPR at 3.0% and 5-year LPR at 3.5%.
- No cut followed last month’s rate reduction — sign of cautious policy amid economic concerns.
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6️⃣ Japan’s Inflation Quickens
- Core inflation rose to 3.7% YoY in May, up from 3.5% in April.
- The data strengthens speculation that the Bank of Japan could tighten policy sooner than expected.
7️⃣ Crude Oil Slips But Up For Week
- Brent crude futures dropped 1.89% to $77.36/barrel, but remain up 3.9% this week.
- WTI crude for July rose 1.14% to $76; August futures up 0.7%.
- Volatility driven by Middle East tensions.
8️⃣ Gold Holds Steady Amid Uncertainty
- Spot gold remained flat at $3,367.60/ounce.
- US gold futures steady at $3,384.20.
- Gold has declined 1.9% for the week despite geopolitical jitters.
📌 Indian Market Recap: June 19
- Sensex fell 83 pts to 81,361.87
- Nifty slipped 19 pts to 24,793.25
- Mid & small caps bled, wiping out nearly ₹4 lakh crore of investor wealth
- Market tone remained cautious with profit-booking in broader indices
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