Indian Stock Market Today: 8 Key Overnight Cues from Gift Nifty to US Inflation That May Impact Sensex, Nifty
Indian Stock Market Outlook | July 16, 2025
Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty 50 are poised for a subdued start on Wednesday, tracking mixed global cues and inflationary concerns in the United States. The Gift Nifty was trading around the 25,174 level, nearly 91 points below the Nifty futures’ previous close, signaling a negative open for Indian markets.
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This comes after a day of gains where the Sensex rose by 317.45 points (0.39%) to close at 82,570.91, and Nifty 50 gained 113.50 points (0.45%) to end at 25,195.80, breaking a four-day losing streak.
Gift Nifty is trading below previous levels, suggesting a gap-down opening for domestic indices.
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The Nasdaq Composite ended 0.18% higher at 20,677.80, reaching a record closing high, while the Dow Jones fell by 0.98% and S&P 500 declined 0.40%.
June CPI rose 0.3%, the highest monthly gain in 5 months, with YoY inflation at 2.7%, up from 2.4% in May—dimming hopes for early Fed rate cuts.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 dipped 0.2%, Topix dropped 0.11%, Kospi fell 0.8%, and Kosdaq declined 0.56%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indicated a stronger start.
The US Dollar Index neared a one-month high at 98.60, while the yen slid to a 4-month low of 149.03. The euro and sterling remained weak near 3-week lows.
The 10-year yield hit a one-month high of 4.4950%, while the 2-year yield held steady at 3.9503%, indicating ongoing rate fears.
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,330.99/oz, buoyed by global trade war concerns. US gold futures remained flat at $3,337.70/oz.
Brent crude gained 0.38% to $68.97, and WTI crude rose 0.54% to $66.88 on expectations of stable demand from the US and China.
Siddhartha Khemka of Motilal Oswal Financial Services remarked, “With India’s Commerce Ministry team in Washington for trade talks and Q1FY26 earnings in focus, the market may remain range-bound with stock-specific action.”
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