Indian Stock Market Today: Eight Things That Changed Over the Weekend for the Market

Gift Nifty signals upward bias; easing Israel-Iran tensions, US-China trade optimism, and Wall Street rally drive investor sentiment

June 30, 2025: The Indian stock market is poised for a positive start on Monday, June 30, as global market cues turn favorable. The Gift Nifty traded around 25,770, reflecting a modest premium of nearly 20 points over the Nifty 50 futures’ previous close, indicating a mildly bullish opening for benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty.

Also Read: Wall Street Outlook for the Week Ahead: Markets to Eye Jobs Data, Trump’s ‘Big Act’

Asian markets were trading higher, and Wall Street closed last week at all-time highs, fueled by strong investor appetite amid easing geopolitical tensions and signs of progress in US-China trade talks.

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Key Market Drivers This Week

1. Global Trade Talks
   US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed significant progress in trade negotiations with China and 18 other countries, raising hopes of a comprehensive trade pact by September 1.
2. Middle East Ceasefire
   The Israel-Iran ceasefire continues to hold, calming geopolitical nerves and reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold and crude.
3. US Economic Data
   Upcoming data on non-farm payrolls, ISM PMIs, and factory orders will shape expectations around the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate trajectory.
4. IPO Activity & FII Flows
   A slew of IPOs and continued foreign fund inflows could keep domestic markets buzzing.

Also Read: Gold Price Outlook: MCX Gold May Drop to ₹94,000 as Ceasefire, Trade Hopes Dent Demand

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Market Recap: Friday’s Rally

The Sensex surged 303.03 points (0.36%) to close at 84,058.90, while the Nifty 50 climbed 88.80 points (0.35%) to end at 25,637.80, marking the fourth straight session of gains. Analysts at Religare Broking suggest a “buy on dips” approach, backed by improving risk sentiment and broad market participation.

Also Read: Who Will Buy TikTok? Trump Reveals, But Says Deal Needs Xi Jinping’s Nod

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Global Highlights

• Wall Street:
  All three major indices closed the week in the green.
  • Dow Jones: +432.43 pts to 43,819.27
  • S&P 500: +32.05 pts to 6,173.07
  • Nasdaq: +105.55 pts to 20,273.46
• Asian Markets (Early Monday):
  • Nikkei 225: +1.68%
  • Topix: +0.96%
  • Kospi: +0.85%
  • Hang Seng Futures: Indicate stronger opening
• Japan Factory Output:
  Slower-than-expected industrial output growth of 0.5% in May raises concerns on sustained recovery.

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Commodity Check

• Gold:
  Prices fell to a one-month low at $3,264.64/oz, tracking softening demand due to easing global uncertainties.
• Crude Oil:
  Brent fell 0.97% to $67.11/barrel, while WTI dropped 1.31% to $64.66/barrel, amid expectations of an OPEC+ production hike in August.

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US Macro Pulse

• PCE Inflation:
  Rose 0.1% in May, in line with April and forecasts — supporting a dovish Fed outlook.
• Consumer Spending:
  Unexpected dip of 0.1% raises caution on near-term growth.
• Consumer Sentiment:
  Jumped to 60.7 in June — a four-month high — signaling renewed optimism.

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Indian stock market, Nifty 50, Sensex, Gift Nifty, Wall Street rally, US-China trade talks, gold prices, oil prices, Israel Iran ceasefire, stock market opening