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Indian Stock Market Weekly Outlook: 11 Key Triggers for Sensex, Nifty Including Q4 Earnings, US-Iran Talks & Gold Surge

Markets brace for a cautious start post-Good Friday as global signals remain mixed. Gift Nifty hints at a negative opening, with key earnings, trade talks, and geopolitical developments in focus.

Indian Stock Market Preview – April 21, 2025

The Indian stock market is expected to open flat to negative on Monday, influenced by a blend of global developments and domestic earnings cues. Gift Nifty was trading near the 23,801 level — almost 50 points below the previous Nifty futures close — signaling a tepid start to the week.

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On Thursday, ahead of the Good Friday holiday, benchmark indices extended their bull run. The Sensex surged 1.96% (1,509 points) to 78,553.20, and the Nifty 50 closed 1.77% higher at 23,851.65. This momentum now faces tests from global uncertainty and fresh Q4 earnings.

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🔑 11 Market Movers to Watch This Week:

Gift Nifty Trends
- Currently trading ~23,801; signals weak start for Nifty.
Asian Market Cues
- Japan’s Nikkei and Topix down over 1%; Korea’s Kospi and Kosdaq slightly positive.
- Hong Kong and Australia closed for Easter.
Wall Street Action
- Dow down 1.33%, S&P up 0.13%, Nasdaq down 0.13%.
- Big movers: Eli Lilly (+14%), Apple (+1.4%), Netflix (+2.5%), UnitedHealth (-22%).
Q4 Corporate Results
- Infosys Q4FY25: Profit ₹7,033 Cr (+3.3% QoQ); revenue fell 2%.
- HDFC Bank: Net profit ₹17,616 Cr (+6.7% YoY); NII ₹32,070 Cr.
- ICICI Bank: Net profit ₹12,629.58 Cr (+18% YoY); NIM at 4.41%.
China’s LPR Status
- No rate cuts; 1-year LPR at 3.1%, 5-year at 3.6% (unchanged for 6th month).
ECB’s Rate Cut
- Slashed by 25 bps to 2.4%, warning of growth slowdown due to US tariffs.
US-Iran Nuclear Talks
- Progress seen; potential easing of Middle East geopolitical tension.
Russia-Ukraine Easter Truce
- Ceasefire breaches reported despite calls for a 30-day suspension of drone strikes.
US Dollar Weakness
- Dollar Index hits 3-year low (98.623); Euro, Yen, and Sterling climb sharply.
Gold Price Surge
- Spot gold at $3,361.53/oz, US futures at $3,375.90—record highs amid trade fears.
Crude Oil Decline
- Brent down 1.10% to $67.21, WTI slips 1.14% to $63.94 as Iran deal talks ease supply fears.

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📌 Analyst Take:

“With Nifty 50 hovering near its swing high at 23,800, the spotlight now turns to Q4 earnings and global cues. We continue to recommend a ‘buy on dips’ approach focused on rate-sensitive sectors,” – Ajit Mishra, SVP – Research, Religare Broking Ltd.

📎 Tags:

Indian stock market, Nifty 50 today, Sensex today, Gift Nifty, Infosys Q4 results, HDFC Bank earnings, ICICI Bank Q4, ECB rate cut, China LPR, US Iran nuclear talks, gold price, crude oil price, forex update, dollar index, Q4FY25 results

Business Desk