RBI Likely to Cut Repo Rate to 6% Today Amid Cooling Inflation, Slowing Growth

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra-led Monetary Policy Committee may also shift policy stance to ‘accommodative’ to support future rate cuts

April 9, 2025: RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting LIVE Updates – April 9, 2025

India’s central bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point (bps) cut in the repo rate, bringing it down to 6%, as part of its first bi-monthly monetary policy decision for FY26. The meeting, chaired by RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, concludes today after deliberations from April 7 to April 9.

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With retail inflation cooling to 3.61% in February and economic growth slowing, the central bank is also likely to shift its policy stance from ‘neutral’ to ‘accommodative’ — a clear signal that more rate cuts could be on the table in the coming months.

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Latest Highlights:

📉 Expected Rate Cut:
The RBI is widely forecast to reduce the benchmark repo rate by 25 bps to 6%, following a similar cut in February 2025 when the rate was reduced from 6.5% to 6.25%.

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📊 Inflation Under Control:
Retail inflation (CPI) stood at 3.61% in February, well below the RBI’s 4% target. According to SBI projections, inflation could remain under 4% through the first half of FY26.

🔁 Shift to Accommodative Stance:
Analysts expect the RBI to change its monetary policy stance from ‘neutral’ to ‘accommodative’, suggesting the central bank is open to further easing if economic conditions demand it.

📌 Background:
In the February 2025 policy review, the MPC had delivered India’s first rate cut in nearly five years, citing signs of a cooling economy and global uncertainties such as the ongoing trade war triggered by fresh US tariffs.

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Stay tuned as the Reserve Bank of India officially announces its repo rate decision and shares commentary on the macroeconomic outlook amid global headwinds and domestic moderation.

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RBI MPC April 2025, repo rate cut, RBI policy April 9, Sanjay Malhotra, monetary policy committee, inflation India, CPI February 2025, accommodative stance, RBI interest rate, Indian economy, rate cut prediction