The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has indicated that the overall monsoon activity in peninsular India, including Kerala, is expected to be weak for the next three to four days. This prediction is based on the current positioning and activity of the monsoon trough, which typically influences rainfall patterns across the Indian subcontinent.
Monsoon Outlook for Peninsular India IMD scientist Neetha K Gopal stated, “The overall monsoon for peninsular India, including Kerala, is going to be weak for the coming 3-4 days due to the monsoon trough, which generally regulates the rainfall activity over the entire Indian subcontinent.” She further elaborated that while regions adjacent to the Himalayan range will experience excess rainfall, the peninsular region will see a reduction in rainfall activity.
Rainfall Predictions for Kerala As a result, Kerala is expected to receive very light to moderate rainfall, or potentially even less, in the upcoming days. The IMD has forecast scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall over Kerala and Mahe, Lakshadweep, Karnataka, and isolated to scattered rainfall over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Telangana, and Rayalaseema during the next five days. Additionally, heavy rainfall is anticipated at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Coastal Karnataka today and tomorrow.
Recent Weather Events in Kerala Kerala has been experiencing continuous rainfall since the beginning of July. The state recently faced severe weather conditions, with massive landslides in Wayanad on July 30, resulting in over 300 casualties and significant property damage.
The IMD’s forecast highlights the dynamic nature of monsoon patterns and their varied impacts across different regions of India. As the situation evolves, residents and local authorities are advised to stay updated with the latest weather advisories and take necessary precautions.