Jamie Dimon Warns Trump’s Tariffs Could Trigger Recession, Erode U.S. Global Standing

JPMorgan CEO raises red flag over rising trade tensions, warns that economic isolationism and tariff-driven inflation could weaken America’s strategic and geopolitical influence.

New York [US], April 8:
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded a strong alarm over former U.S. President Donald Trump’s expanding tariff strategy, warning that the growing wave of trade restrictions could stoke inflation, slow down global economic growth, and damage America’s geopolitical standing.

In his annual letter to shareholders, Dimon noted that while an outright recession isn’t guaranteed, the risk has increased significantly.

“Whether or not the menu of tariffs causes a recession remains in question, but it will slow down growth,” he wrote.

Dimon criticized the broader “America First” approach that Trump champions, warning it could isolate the U.S. at a time when global cooperation is more vital than ever.

“America First is fine, as long as it doesn’t end up being America alone,” he cautioned.

Dimon, one of Wall Street’s most influential voices, emphasized the interconnectedness of trade, security, and diplomacy, suggesting that economic isolationism could lead to broader instability.

“Security and economics are interconnected – ‘economic’ warfare has caused military warfare in the past,” he warned.

His comments represent a significant shift in tone. Earlier in January, Dimon had downplayed tariff risks, suggesting modest inflation might be a tolerable side effect. But with the trade measures now expanding dramatically, his message is more urgent and forceful.

Beyond trade, Dimon also flagged worrying signs in market valuations, urging caution.

“Even with the recent decline in market values, prices remain relatively high,” he said, adding that global uncertainty—from war to economic fragmentation—justifies a prudent outlook.

While the U.S. economy has shown resilience with steady consumer and business activity, Dimon now sees signs of strain. His conclusion painted a stark picture:

“We face the most perilous and complicated geopolitical and economic environment since World War II.”

As 2025 unfolds, Dimon’s letter underscores deepening concerns about America’s trajectory—not just in terms of economic policy, but its role on the world stage.