COVID-19 के चलते सबसे गहरी मंदी से जूझ रही है दुनिया: World Bank

World Bank के अध्यक्ष डेविड मालपास ने कहा, ''मंदी बहुत गहरी है, महामंदी के बाद से सबसे बड़ी मंदी में एक है। और कई विकासशील देशों तथा सबसे गरीब देशों के लोगों के लिए ये वास्तव में अवसाद की एक भयावह घटना है।''

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World Bank के अध्यक्ष डेविड मालपास ने कहा है कि कोरोना वायरस महामारी (Coronavirus Pandemic) के चलते दुनिया 1930 के दशक की महामंदी के बाद से सबसे गहरी मंदी से जूझ रही है और उन्होंने COVID-19 महामारी को कई विकासशील और सबसे गरीब देशों के लिए ”भयावह घटना” बताया। उन्होंने संवाददाताओं से कहा कि आर्थिक संकुचन की सीमा को देखते हुए कई देशों में ऋण संकट का खतरा बढ़ गया है।

उन्होंने अंतरराष्ट्रीय मुद्रा कोष और विश्व बैंक की वार्षिक बैठक के मौके पर बुधवार को संवाददाताओं से कहा कि यहां बैठकों में इस मुद्दे पर बहुत अधिक ध्यान दिया गया है। उन्होंने कहा, ”मंदी बहुत गहरी है, महामंदी के बाद से सबसे बड़ी मंदी में एक है। और कई विकासशील देशों तथा सबसे गरीब देशों के लोगों के लिए ये वास्तव में अवसाद की एक भयावह घटना है।”

उन्होंने कहा कि इस बैठक और कार्रवाई का केंद्र बिंदु इन देशों को राहत पहुंचाना है तथा विश्व बैंक इन देशों के लिए एक बड़ा वृद्धि कार्यक्रम तैयार कर रहा है। एक सवाल के जवाब में उन्होंने कहा कि विश्व बैंक को लगता है कि इस समय के आाकर का सुधार हो रहा है। ‘के आकार के सुधार का अर्थ मंदी के बाद दुनिया के विभिन्न हिस्सों में अगल-अगल दर से सुधार का होना है।

इधर, कोरोना वायरस से बुरी तरह प्रभावित भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था में इस वर्ष के दौरान 10.3 प्रतिशत की बड़ी गिरावट आने का अनुमान है। अंतरराष्ट्रीय मुद्रा कोष (IMF) ने मंगलवार को यह बात कही। वहीं, इस दौरान विश्व अर्थव्यवस्था में 4.4 प्रतिशत की गिरावट और 2021 में 5.2 प्रतिशत की जोरदार वृद्धि के साथ आगे बढ़ने का अनुमान व्यक्त किया गया है।

हालांकि, इसके साथ ही आईएमएफ ने कहा है कि 2021 में भारतीय अर्थव्यवस्था में संभवत: 8.8 प्रतिशत की जोरदार बढ़त दर्ज की जाएगी और वह चीन को पीछे छोड़ते हुए तेजी से बढ़ने वाली उभरती अर्थव्यवस्था का दर्जा फिर से हासिल कर लेगी। चीन के 2021 में 8.2 प्रतिशत वृद्धि हासिल करने का अनुमान है। 

आईएमएफ ने अपनी ‘विश्व आर्थिक परिदृश्य पर जारी ताजा रिपोर्ट में ये अनुमान व्यक्त किये हैं। ये रिपोर्ट आईएमएफ और विश्व बैंक की सालाना वार्षिक बैठक से पहले जारी की गई हैं। इसमें कहा गया है कि 2020 में वैश्विक अर्थव्यवस्था में 4.4 प्रतिशत की गिरावट आयेगी और 2021 में यह 5.2 प्रतिशत की जोरदार वृद्धि हासिल करेगी। 

आईएमएफ की इस रिपोर्ट के मुताबिक 2020 में अमेरिका की अर्थव्यवस्था में 5.8 प्रतिशत गिरावट आने का अनुमान है जबकि अगले वर्ष इसमें 3.9 प्रतिशत की वृद्धि होगी। वर्ष 2020 के दौरान दुनिया की प्रमुख अर्थव्यवस्थाओं में केवल चीन ही एकमात्र देश होगा जिसमें 1.9 प्रतिशत की वृद्धि दर्ज की जायेगी। 

आईएमएफ ने अपनी रिपोर्ट में कहा है कि आर्थिक गतिविधियों के मामले में अनुमान में संशोधन भारत के मामले में बड़ा है जहां सकल घरेलू उत्पाद (GDP) में दूसरी तिमाही (अप्रैल- जून, भारत के वित्त वर्ष के मुताबिक पहली तिमाही) के दौरान अनुमान से कहीं बड़ी गिरावट रही है।

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