From Gift Nifty signals and Trump’s new tariffs to Q1 earnings and gold prices—here are the global and domestic cues that may shape today’s market opening.
July-14, 2025: The Indian stock market is poised for a cautious start on Monday, July 14, amid mixed global cues and heightened geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Key indices Sensex and Nifty 50 are expected to open lower after Friday’s sharp correction, which saw the Sensex plummet 690 points and the Nifty 50 drop by 205 points.
Here’s a quick roundup of the 8 key developments overnight that could influence stock market trends today:
1. Gift Nifty Indicates Weak Opening
Gift Nifty was trading around the 25,179 mark, nearly 12.5 points below the previous close of Nifty futures, hinting at a negative market open.
Also Read: Gold Rate Today in India — July 13, 2025
2. Wall Street Ends in Red
U.S. indices closed lower on Friday, weighed down by profit booking and rising trade tension:
- Dow Futures: Down 200 points
- S&P 500 Futures: Down 30 points
- Nasdaq Futures: Down 100 points
3. Trump’s 30% Tariff Threat on EU & Mexico
In a significant geopolitical move, President Donald Trump announced a potential 30% tariff on European Union and Mexican imports if new trade deals aren’t finalized by August 1. This led to:
- EU pausing countermeasures for negotiations
- Mexico expressing optimism over continued discussions
Goods compliant with the USMCA agreement are expected to be exempt.
Also Read: Why Are Income Tax Refunds Delayed This Year? Experts Explain the ITR Filing Slowdown
4. Asian Markets Trade Mixed
- Japan’s Nikkei 225: -0.33%
- Topix: -0.21%
- Hang Seng Index: +0.14%
- China’s CSI 300: +0.16%
- South Korea Kospi: +0.22%, Kosdaq: +0.19%
5. Q1 Earnings Season Picks Up
This week will be crucial for markets as major Indian companies release Q1 FY26 earnings. Among the most anticipated are:
- HCL Tech, Tech Mahindra, Wipro
- Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank
- JSW Steel, L&T Finance
Friday’s weak performance was partly due to TCS’s disappointing results.
6. Gold Prices Climb to 3-Week High
Gold rose on safe-haven buying after Trump’s trade threats:
- Spot Gold: +0.2% to $3,361.19/oz
- US Gold Futures: +0.4% to $3,376/oz
Prices are now at their highest since June 23.
7. Crude Oil Gains Amid Russia Sanctions Watch
Oil prices extended their Friday rally as the market priced in:
- Potential new U.S. sanctions on Russia
- Higher Saudi output and tariff uncertainties
Current rates:
- Brent Crude: $70.44/barrel (+8 cents)
- WTI Crude: $68.50/barrel (+5 cents)
8. US Dollar Index Rebounds
The US Dollar Index surged 0.3%, reclaiming the 98 level, fueled by risk-off sentiment after tariff announcements.
Conclusion:
Investors should brace for volatility in today’s session as global economic tensions, corporate earnings, and commodity prices create a highly dynamic trading environment. Defensive sectors like FMCG and pharma may continue to provide stability amid broader market weakness.
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